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Toronto Transit Commission - Sheppard Subway

- Bessarion Station

The Strategic Policies and Priorities Committee recommends the adoption of Recommendation No. (1) of the Budget Committee contained in the transmittal letter (October13,1998) from the City Clerk.

The Strategic Policies and Priorities Committee reports having received for information the report (October 19, 1998) from the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer and forwarded it, together with the communication (October 8, 1998) from Mr. Vincent Rodo, General Secretary, Toronto Transit Commission, to the Chief Financial Officer for consideration of the funding options contained therein during deliberations of the 1999 Capital Works Program.

The Strategic Policies and Priorities Committee submits the following transmittal letter (October 13, 1998) from the City Clerk:

Recommendation:

The Budget Committee on October 13, 1998 recommends that:

(1)the contract for the construction of the Bessarion Station be approved; and

(2)the communication (October 8, 1998) from Mr. Vincent Rodo, General Secretary, Toronto Transit Commission be considered in conjunction with the report on the Sheppard Subway funding options being provided by the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer at the October 20, 1998 meeting of the Strategic Policies and Priorities Committee.

Background:

The Budget Committee on October 13, 1998, had before it communication (October 8, 1998) from the General Manager, Toronto Transit Commission relating to the Bessarion Station on the Sheppard Subway.

--------

(Communication dated October 8, 1998 addressed to the

Clerk, City of Toronto from the

General Secretary, Toronto Transit Commission)

At its meeting on Wednesday, October 7, 1998, the Commission received a verbal update from J. Sepulis, General Manager - Engineering and Construction concerning the Sheppard Subway Budget/Schedule.

After hearing the above update, the Commission approved a motion that the funding issue regarding Bessarion Station be forwarded to the City Budget Committee, City Strategic Policies and Priorities Committee and City Council to advance a decision on the matter prior to November 1, 1998.

Due to the fact that tenders received for construction of Bessarion Station expire on November 1, 1998, it is essential that a decision on whether to proceed with the construction of Bessarion Station be made by City Council at its meeting on October 28, 1998. Attached is a report from our Engineering and Construction staff on the ramifications of not reaching a decision by this deadline. To facilitate this decision, it would be appreciated if this matter could be included on the respective agendas for consideration by the City Budget Committee on Tuesday, October 13, 1998, the City Strategic Policies and Priorities Committee on Tuesday, October 20, 1998 and City Council at its meeting on Wednesday, October 28, 1998.

Your cooperation with respect to the foregoing is greatly appreciated.

--------

(Report entitled "Status of Sheppard Budget and

Bessarion Station Contract Award" from the

Sheppard Subway Department, E&C Branch)

Project Budget Status:

The approved budget for the Sheppard Subway project is $875.4 million. The expenditures to the end of September 1998 were $384.4 million.

The current amount of funds committed in the form of contracts awarded, purchase orders issued, property acquired, etc., but payments not necessarily made, is $700.4 million.

The budget has $175.0 million remaining funding available to cover the balance of the work not yet committed.

The current budget overrun on Sheppard is $51.9 million for a total expenditure of $927.3million. City Finance Department, based on the City's Auditor report, is projecting a total cost overrun of $56.7 million for the project for a total project expenditure of $932.1million by the end of the project.

The project is currently on schedule for completion in June 2002. At this time there are no critical design or construction elements behind schedule.

To the end of September, approximately 35 percent of physical construction was completed.

Bessarion Station Contract Award Status:

The Bessarion Station bids were received on June 3, 1998 and the contract was originally scheduled to be awarded on June 17, 1998. Due to a projected budget overrun for the Sheppard Subway project, award of the station ($33.9 million) was deferred pending the resolution of funding of the projected budget overrun. The Commission was briefed on this issue at the July 9 and September 3 meetings.

While efforts have been initiated to establish a strategy for the funding of Bessarion Station, no funding commitment has been made to date. As the validity of the Bessarion Station bids has already been extended once, and will expire on November 2, 1998, the purpose is to outline the financial and schedule implications of not awarding Bessarion Station on or before November 1, 1998.

There are three options for the eventual construction of Bessarion Station:

Option 1:

Award Bessarion Station prior to the expiration of the current bids on November 2, 1998.

Option 2:

Allow the existing bids to expire on November 2, 1998. Re-tender the Bessarion Station contract on or before February 20, 1999 and commence construction on or before May 1, 1999.

Option 3:

Defer the construction of Bessarion Station until after the Sheppard Subway has opened for revenue service in June 2002.

The implications of the above options are outlined below:

With Option 1, the existing bid price ($33.9 million) would not change and the station would be open to the public when revenue service of the Sheppard Subway line commences in June 2002. It does, however, require that the project budget be increased now to address the projected budget overrun.

It is possible to request a further extension to the validity date of the low bidder but it is uncertain whether the low bidder would be agreeable to a further extension. In addition, the schedule milestones, sequencing of work and other contractual criteria will have to be revised to reflect changes on account of the delay. This could expose the Commission to claims.

With Option 2 there are cost, schedule and construction implications.

While the award of Bessarion Station can be delayed until spring 1999, it will only be possible to complete the station box structure prior to the commencement of revenue service in June, 2002. The Sheppard Subway would be open for service and the completion and opening of Bessarion Station to the public would follow by several months.

A new contract document for Bessarion Station would have to be prepared with the resulting re-design costs. In addition, it is likely that construction prices will continue to rise between now and spring, 1999. There are premiums associated with a contractor completing the station construction while revenue service is in operation. Consequently, the estimated cost of Bessarion Station will increase by approximately $5 million if Option 2 is implemented.

With Option 3, the construction of Bessarion Station would be deferred until the future (i.e. after the commencement of revenue service) and the estimated costs will increase from $33.9 million to approximately $70-$80 million. This is due to the fact that construction would involve excavating the station down to the tunnels, careful dismantling of the tunnel liners (when the subway is not operating) and construction of the station during the nightly shutdown period of the subway. This type of construction is technically complex, risky and expensive.

Conclusion:

In the absence of confirmation of funding to cover the cost of project overrun it is necessary to let the contract bid validity expire.

If a decision is made to fund the construction of Bessarion Station after November 1, 1998, the cost of construction will increase significantly.

The Strategic Policies and Priorities Committee also submits the following report (October 19, 1998) from the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer:

Purpose:

To outline options for financing projected project cost overruns for the Sheppard Subway.

Funding Sources, Financial Implications and Impact Statement:

If the projected amount is financed through the issuance of debentures, debt charges for this project will increase over original estimates.

Recommendation:

It is recommended that this report be received for information and that the financing options contained herein be considered during deliberations on the overall 1999 Capital Works Program.

Council Reference/Background/History:

At its meeting held on September 11, 1998, the Audit Committee received the report "Sheppard Subway Project Cost Overruns" for information. The report identified cost overruns at the current stage of construction of $42.5 million with a further potential $14.4 million being incurred over the next year for a total of $56.7 million. At its meeting on October 1, 1998, the Strategic Priorities and Policies Committee requested the Chief Financial Officer to report on the impact of financing the three options identified by the TTC to deal with these cost overruns.

At its meeting on October 13, 1998, the Budget Committee received a letter from the TTC that outlined three options relating to the Bessarion Station and recommended that the awarding of the relevant contract proceed as scheduled.

Comments and/or Discussion and/or Justification:

Based upon the revised budget of $875.0 million (before cost overruns), it was projected that the City's share of the financing was $297.0 million. This amount has been approved to be provided, before considering development charges, from the issuance of debentures for a term-to-maturity of twenty years. Annual debt charges are projected to be approximately $32.79 million at an interest rate of 6.50 percent from 2003 onwards, including debt charges for funds previously expended for the Eglinton Subway and Wilson Yard projects which were also part of the Rapid Transit Expansion Program. At present, there is a projected cost overrun of $56.7 million. Several options exist to deal with this projected cost overrun such as: 1) award the contract to build the Bessarion Station by November 2nd and finance the entire cost overrun by the issuance of debentures, 2) delay the construction of the station until May 1, 1999, 3) defer construction until the future that would increase the costs from $33.9 million to approximately $70 to $80 million, or 4) advance the use of funds in the Sheppard Subway Project Reserve Fund.

If the projected cost overrun of $56.7 million is entirely financed through the issuance of debentures over the next three years, annual debt charges, based upon current market conditions, are projected to be an additional $5.4 million for a term of twenty years by the year 2002.

It has been suggested in the TTC Sheppard Subway Budget Briefing, dated July 9, 1998, that an option would be to increase the construction budget by the amount of the overrun, resulting in increased annual debt charges of $5.4 million over the original $32.79 million forecast for a total of $38.19 million, as detailed on the attached exhibit. A portion of the annual debt charges could be offset by approximately $5.0 million, based upon the current projection of development charges that are predicated upon the completion of the Bessarion Station. Since it is anticipated that the development charges will be received after the construction of the station, it is being suggested that they be applied to future debt charges, as they may not be available to be applied against capital expenditures when they are actually being incurred.

The third option would defer the construction of the Bessarion Station to early 1999 or after 2002 with a possible cancellation. If the station is deferred, then an immediate saving would reduce the budget overrun by $33.9 million, leaving a net shortfall of $22.8 million. The cost of construction at a later date has been estimated at between $70 million to $80 million by the TTC as stated in their budget briefing report dated July 9, 1998. This is shown on the attached as Option 3. It should be noted that there also would be a risk that interest rates could increase when the financing is required, given that they are currently at historically low levels.

A fourth option is to proceed with Bessarion Station and advance use of funds in the Sheppard Subway Project Reserve Fund which contains moneys transferred to the City by the Province in July of 1998 as part of the conclusion of the 5 year subsidy agreement. This option would mitigate impacts in 1999 and 2000, but would increase later impacts, depending upon future capital market conditions. However, this option would essentially shift debt charges to future operating budgets by using funds that would be earning interest in the Reserve Fund.

The RTEP Reserve Fund is receiving an annual contribution of $11.8 million during the past two years. Regardless of the decision to issue debt to finance the estimated over-run, it is projected that the Reserve Fund will still require an increase in contribution in the 2000.

Other financing options, including sale/lease back of components of the State of Good Repair capital budget and other scenarios will be more fully explored in the pending Debt Management Plan which will be presented to Budget Committee for consideration with the overall financing strategy for the 1999 Capital Works Program.

Conclusion:

The funding of the projected cost overrun of $56.7 million can be financed through the issuance of debentures for a term of twenty years, resulting in additional annual debt charges of $5.4 million. If the Bessarion Station were deferred, then the projected cost overruns would be reduced by approximately $33.9 million. However, the level of development in its vicinity and related charges would also be reduced and the TTC has stated that construction costs could double if the station is built at a later date with a similar increase in future interest and principal repayments.

It is recommended that the financing options contained in this report be received for information at this time and be considered as part of Council's deliberations on the overall 1999 Capital Works Program.

Contact Name:

Martin Willschick, Manager, Treasury - 392-8072;

E-mail: mwillsch@mta1.metrodesk.metrotor.on.ca

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Projected Debt Charges for the Sheppard Subway

($Millions)

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

Base Scenario of $297 M debt - Note (1)

14.15

20.81

27.27

32.63

32.79

Less RTEP Reserve

(14.15)

(16.71)

(11.80)

(11.80)

(11.80)

Impact on Operating Budget

0.00

4.10

15.47

20.83

20.99

Option 1

Issue debt for total overrun of $56.7M

over 2001 to 2003

Total Annual Debt Charges

14.15

20.81

27.28

35.45

38.19

Less RTEP Reserve

(14.15)

(16.71)

(11.80)

(11.80)

(11.80)

Impact on Operating Budget

0.00

4.10

15.47

23.65

26.39

Change from Base Case

0.00

0.00

0.00

2.82

5.40

Option 2

Delete Bessarion Station and issue debt on

remaining overrun of $22.8M over 2001

to 2003

Total Annual Debt Charges

14.15

20.81

27.65

34.08

34.69

Less RTEP Reserve

(14.15)

(16.71)

(11.80)

(11.80)

(11.80)

Impact on Operating Budget

0.00

4.10

15.85

22.28

22.89

Change from Base Case

0.00

0.00

0.38

1.45

1.90

Option 3

Defer Bessarion Station until 2002 then issue debt of $75.0M over 2002 and 2003

Total Annual Debt Charges

14.15

20.81

27.27

34.31

39.92

Impact on Operating Budget

0.00

4.10

15.47

22.51

28.12

Change from Base Case

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.68

7.13

Option 4

Advance use of funds in Sheppard Subway

Capital Reserve to finance shortfall

Total Annual Debt Charges

14.15

20.81

27.27

33.55

36.40

Less RTEP Reserve

(14.15)

(16.71)

(11.80)

(11.80)

(11.80)

Impact on Operating Budget

0.00

4.10

15.47

21.75

24.60

Change from Base Case

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.92

3.61

Note (1): Includes debt charges for Eglinton Subway & Wilson Yard which are RTEP Projects.

 

   
Please note that council and committee documents are provided electronically for information only and do not retain the exact structure of the original versions. For example, charts, images and tables may be difficult to read. As such, readers should verify information before acting on it. All council documents are available from the City Clerk's office. Please e-mail clerk@city.toronto.on.ca.

 

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