Toronto’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions increased in 2022. The 2022 inventory results, although increasing slightly in emissions community-wide, remain generally consistent with an overall downward trend in emissions over time; however, the current pace of emissions reductions is unlikely to meet the City’s 2025 emissions target. Toronto must continue to scale up its GHG emissions reduction programs and initiatives to reach its interim targets and net zero by 2040.

The City’s 2022 Sector-Based Emissions Inventory (SBEI) tracks Toronto’s progress towards its GHG emissions reduction targets and identifies direct and indirect greenhouse gas emissions from three key sectors: buildings, transportation and waste. The sources that contribute the largest percentage of emissions in Toronto are natural gas heating in residential buildings (29 per cent of Toronto’s community-wide emissions) and gasoline combustion in passenger vehicles (23 per cent of emissions).

Toronto’s future sector-based reduction targets from 1990 levels are: 45 per cent by 2025, 65 per cent by 2030 and net zero by 2040. Meeting Toronto’s 2025 target is at risk if the upward trend in GHG emissions continues.

A bar chart showing the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in megatonnes of CO2e from 1990-2022 with waste (4.2 megatonnes), transportation (7.0 megatonnes) and buildings (13.2 megatonnes) in 1990 compared to waste (1.4 megatonnes), transportation (5.4 megatonnes) and buildings (8.7 megatonnes) in 2022.
Toronto’s year-over-year community-wide GHG emissions by sector.
A donut chart showing the total megatonnes (MT) of greenhouse gas emissions at 15.5MT in 2022 with a breakdown with buildings at 8.7MT, transportation at 5.4MT and waste at 1.4MT and a breakdown of buildings at 56%, transportation at 35% and waste at 9%.
A breakdown of greenhouse gas emissions by sector in megatonnes (MT) and percentages in 2022.

 

2022 Key Findings

  • In 2022, Toronto’s community-wide greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions were 15.5 megatonnes (MT) of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e), a five per cent increase over the 14.8 MT CO2e emitted in 2021. Emissions were 36 per cent lower than 1990 levels.
  • In comparison to 2019 (pre-pandemic), Toronto’s emissions were four per cent lower in 2022. The sources that contributed the largest percentage of emissions in Toronto were fossil (natural) gas heating in residential buildings and gasoline combustion in passenger vehicles, which represented 29 per cent and 23 per cent of Toronto’s community-wide emissions respectively.
  • The 2022 inventory results, although increasing slightly in emissions community-wide, remain generally consistent with an overall downward trend in emissions over time; however, it is clear that the current pace of emissions reductions is unlikely to meet the City’s 2025 emissions target.
  • A 2.1 MT CO2e reduction in annual emissions would be required to meet the 2025 target and Toronto is not moving at this pace. This 2.1 MT reduction would be equivalent to removing 58 per cent (650,887) of gas-powered cars from the road, or converting 83 per cent (413,416) of single-family homes from fossil (natural) gas heating to electric heat pumps. More than ever, alignment in actions to reach Toronto’s future emissions targets (65 per cent reduction from 1990 levels by 2030, and net zero by 2040) must be made across all levels of government, the private sector and individuals in order to achieve significant emissions reduction progress.

Emissions by Sector

Buildings remained the primary source of GHG emissions in Toronto in 2022, accounting for 56 per cent of community-wide emissions, a slight increase in emissions share from 55 per cent in 2021. The largest source of these emissions was fossil (natural) gas heating in residential buildings, accounting for 29 per cent of community-wide emissions in 2022. Fossil (natural) gas emissions from residential buildings have remained relatively stable since 1990.

 

Transportation sector emissions continued to be the second largest source of GHG emissions in Toronto, accounting for 35 per cent of community-wide emissions in 2022. This was about the same emissions share as in 2021. These emissions were mostly attributable to gasoline used in passenger cars and trucks, accounting for 23 per cent of community-wide emissions in 2022. In 2022, the total kilometres travelled by commercial and heavy vehicles rose seven per cent and emissions from these vehicle classes likewise rose seven per cent. The total emissions from passenger cars and trucks increased by three per cent.
Waste sector emissions, primarily from landfills, were the third largest source of GHG emissions in Toronto, accounting for roughly nine per cent of community-wide emissions in 2022. This was about one per cent lower than in 2021.

City of Toronto Corporate Emissions

In 2022, the City of Toronto’s corporate emissions from City-owned buildings, vehicle fleets, waste, and water supply and wastewater treatment were 0.83MT, accounting for about five per cent of Toronto’s community-wide emissions. Corporate emissions increased four per cent since 2021, from 0.80 MT. These emissions were 13 per cent below 2008 levels and it will require a concerted effort to reach the 2030 target of a 65 per cent GHG emissions reduction from 2008 levels.

Corporate emissions were roughly equally distributed across the buildings, transportation, and water and wastewater sectors in 2022. Although emissions sources are equal across these sectors, the City has existing policies and processes, such as the corporate carbon budget, enabling immediate action to reduce buildings and transportation emissions. Supported by these tools, the City aims to reduce its use of fossil fuels to heat City- and TCHC-owned buildings [fossil (natural) gas] and power fleet vehicles (diesel and gasoline).

Toronto’s “A List” Score on GHG Accounting and Action Reporting

As a Global Covenant of Mayors signatory, the City of Toronto has been disclosing its GHG emissions inventory and its climate mitigation and adaptation actions annually to the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) in order to share Toronto’s progress and benchmark against other cities facing similar challenges.

For the fifth year in a row, the City of Toronto is recognized on the 2023 Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) Cities “A” List for its leadership and transparency on climate action. Toronto was one of 119 cities globally to receive an “A” rating. At the time of 2022 SBEI report publication, the 2024 CDP results have not been released.

The City follows the Greenhouse Gas Protocol for its sector-based emissions inventory.

Previous Sector-Based Emissions Inventories